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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-10 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,309.45 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,046.15–4,160.49 (-3.5%) | 3.2 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 17% ±21 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±5 | 16% ±21 | 23% ±42 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,921.03–3,921.92 (-9.0%) | 8.4 | 0.8% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 3% ±13 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 7% ±36 | 11% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,888.94 (-9.8%) | 9.1 | 1.3% | 13h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 4% ±20 | 15% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 69 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,545.94–3,846.07 (-10.8%) | 10 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,779.15 (-12.3%) | 11 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| 7D POC | 3,665.63 (-14.9%) | 14 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±10 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,638.83 (-15.6%) | 14 | 5.4% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,549.21 (-17.6%) | 16 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 10% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,388.72–3,409.34 (-20.9%) | 19 | 1.6% | 9h | 2.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 138 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.