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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,260.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,046.15–4,160.49 (-2.3%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 23% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 6% ±6 | 26% ±27 | 30% ±52 | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 60 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,047.22 (-5.0%) | 5.4 | 0.4% | 3h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 10% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 24% ±42 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 3,921.03 (-8.0%) | 8.6 | 0.8% | 6h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 3% ±13 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 42 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,888.94 (-8.7%) | 9.4 | 1.1% | 11h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 13% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,531.64–3,860.36 (-9.4%) | 10 | 1.7% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 84 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,779.15 (-11.3%) | 12 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,638.83–3,644.47 (-14.5%) | 16 | 4.7% | 1.2d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 2% ±8 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,500.28–3,518.36 (-17.4%) | 19 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 6% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 138 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,403.02 (-20.1%) | 22 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.