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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,318.06 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,045.83–4,161.58 (-3.6%) | 3.9 | 0.4% | 3h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±20 | 28% ±39 | 32% ±64 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 7D VAH | 4,100.28 (-5.0%) | 5.5 | 0.1% | 20m | 4.3d ago · 65× | 9% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±16 | 22% ±41 | 26% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 3,921.32 (-9.2%) | 10 | 0.7% | 5h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 3% ±13 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,886.67 (-10.0%) | 11 | 1.1% | 11h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±14 | 7% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,524.95–3,857.73 (-10.7%) | 12 | 1.7% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,786.84 (-12.3%) | 13 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 112 → 3 |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 3,647.94–3,663.84 (-15.2%) | 16 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 2% ±7 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,518.36 (-18.5%) | 20 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,483.01 (-19.3%) | 21 | 1.6% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 10% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 131 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,394.74 (-21.4%) | 23 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.