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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,370 (+1.4%) | 1.3 | <0.1% | 12m | 4.3d ago · 97× | 69% ±32 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 46% ±14 | 69% ±32 | 85% ±41 | 96% | 5h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,310.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,216.93 (-2.2%) | 2.0 | 1.5% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 59% ±39 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 15% ±12 | 59% ±39 | 69% ±64 | 69% | 16h | 3.73% | 0.94% | 37 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.58–4,151.53 (-3.7%) | 3.4 | 0.3% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 21% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 6% ±5 | 24% ±23 | 30% ±45 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 3,922.74 (-9.0%) | 8.4 | 0.8% | 6h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±11 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,889.37 (-9.8%) | 9.1 | 1.3% | 13h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±17 | 14% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,510.69–3,860.24 (-10.5%) | 9.7 | 1.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,775.35 (-12.4%) | 12 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 108 → 3 |
| 7D VAL | 3,708.06 (-14.0%) | 13 | 4.2% | 1.3d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±12 | 10% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 118 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,649.05 (-15.4%) | 14 | 5.4% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 59 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,444.99 (-20.1%) | 19 | 1.4% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 9% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,394.17 (-21.3%) | 20 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 146 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.