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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-11 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,370 (+3.0%) | 2.6 | <0.1% | 13m | 4.4d ago · 97× | 63% ±29 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 14% ±8 | 63% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 96% ±28 | 17h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 68 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,241.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,216.93 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 1.6% | 13h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 82% ±31 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 63% ±16 | 82% ±31 | 87% ±47 | 92% | 2h | 3.73% | 0.94% | 36 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.58–4,151.53 (-2.1%) | 1.8 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 41% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 23% ±12 | 44% ±34 | 46% ±56 | 58% | 4.6d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,922.74 (-7.5%) | 6.4 | 0.9% | 6h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 5% ±18 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±30 | 5% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,889.37 (-8.3%) | 7.1 | 1.4% | 14h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 14% ±34 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,510.69–3,860.24 (-9.0%) | 7.7 | 2.0% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 4% ±12 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±20 | 3% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 3,775.35 (-11.0%) | 9.4 | 5.2% | 1.7d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | — | — | 101 → 2 |
| 7D VAL | 3,749.44 (-11.6%) | 9.9 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±16 | 15% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 120 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,649.05 (-14.0%) | 12 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,414.5 (-19.5%) | 17 | 1.8% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±29 | > 7d | — | — | 153 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,379.61 (-20.3%) | 17 | 1.5% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 129 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.