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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,370 (+2.3%) | 1.9 | <0.1% | 13m | 4.3d ago · 97× | 58% ±32 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 25% ±11 | 58% ±32 | 78% ±47 | 95% | 17h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,272 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,216.93 (-1.3%) | 1.1 | 1.8% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 73% ±31 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 55% ±14 | 75% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 83% | 3h | 3.73% | 0.94% | 49 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,024.4–4,154 (-2.8%) | 2.3 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 28% ±29 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 12% ±8 | 33% ±29 | 36% ±54 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 57 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 3,922.74 (-8.2%) | 6.9 | 0.9% | 7h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 5% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 4% ±28 | 4% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,880.4 (-9.2%) | 7.7 | 1.6% | 15h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 2% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 12% ±32 | 27% ±61 | > 7d | — | — | 70 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,520.4–3,866 (-9.5%) | 8.0 | 2.0% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 3% ±11 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 3% ±17 | 3% ±23 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 3,775.35–3,799.08 (-11.1%) | 9.3 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±6 | 5% ±16 | 11% ±36 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,628.4 (-15.1%) | 13 | 5.9% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±14 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,404.33 (-20.3%) | 17 | 1.7% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±29 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,376.4 (-21.0%) | 18 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 131 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.