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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,370 (+1.4%) | 1.2 | <0.1% | 13m | 4.3d ago · 97× | 72% ±29 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 49% ±13 | 70% ±28 | 85% ±40 | 96% | 5h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,309.32 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,216.93 (-2.1%) | 1.9 | 1.7% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 65% ±35 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 22% ±12 | 66% ±35 | 73% ±62 | 73% | 14h | 3.73% | 0.94% | 43 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,966.8–4,154 (-3.6%) | 3.1 | 0.4% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 21% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 6% ±5 | 25% ±23 | 31% ±40 | 35% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 81 → 2 |
| 14D VAH | 3,932.91 (-8.7%) | 7.6 | 0.6% | 3h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±11 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 49 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,880.4 (-10.0%) | 8.7 | 1.5% | 15h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±20 | 17% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,520.4–3,866 (-10.3%) | 9.0 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±7 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,815.63 (-11.5%) | 10.0 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 5% ±16 | 14% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,628.4–3,643.21 (-15.5%) | 13 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±12 | > 7d | — | — | 117 → 3 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,376.4–3,394.17 (-21.2%) | 19 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.