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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,404.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,375.24 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 0.2% | 19m | 4.3d ago · 65× | 83% ±42 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 74% ±21 | 84% ±41 | 84% | 84% | 2h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,291.09 (-2.6%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 15h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 59% ±39 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 16% ±11 | 59% ±36 | 69% ±64 | 69% | 16h | 3.73% | 0.94% | 41 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,038.81–4,143.7 (-5.9%) | 4.9 | 0.2% | 44m | 2.3d ago · 47× | 16% ±18 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 16% ±17 | 27% ±36 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,976.94 (-9.7%) | 8.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±10 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,888.97 (-11.7%) | 9.7 | 1.5% | 15h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±17 | 13% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 87 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,514.37–3,873.99 (-12.1%) | 10.0 | 1.8% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,852.61 (-12.5%) | 10 | 2.3% | 19h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±15 | 13% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 124 → 3 |
| 14D POC | 3,659.85 (-16.9%) | 14 | 5.6% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 115 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,626.75 (-17.7%) | 15 | 6.1% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | — | — | 65 → 2 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,364.53–3,375.01 (-23.4%) | 19 | 1.6% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 150 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 4,404.92 | 4,927.55 | 4,291.09 | expired | +6.36% |