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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,488 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | <0.1% | 21m | 4.4d ago · 97× | 89% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 11% ±15 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 72% ±13 | 89% ±21 | 96% ±23 | 96% | 1h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,463.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,284.73 (-4.0%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 14h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 35% ±31 | 69% ±25 | 6% ±13 | 25% ±24 | 13 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±30 | 57% ±56 | 57% | 2.0d | 3.73% | 0.94% | 59 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,051.76–4,145.24 (-7.1%) | 6.4 | 0.2% | 48m | 2.3d ago · 47× | 11% ±14 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±14 | 19% ±31 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,045.55 (-9.4%) | 8.4 | 0.5% | 5h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 2% ±10 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAH | 3,895.96–3,901.84 (-12.6%) | 11 | 1.3% | 13h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±13 | 9% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 128 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 3,490.88–3,880.38 (-13.1%) | 12 | 1.5% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 106 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 3,665.49 (-17.9%) | 16 | 5.1% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,638.89 (-18.5%) | 17 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,364.85–3,366.24 (-24.6%) | 22 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 157 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.