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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,722.82 (+3.4%) | 2.4 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 62% ±29 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 17% ±9 | 62% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 95% ±29 | 17h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 64 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,568.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,355.23–4,464.92 (-2.3%) | 1.6 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 47% ±35 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 22% ±11 | 51% ±33 | 55% ±56 | 65% | 1.0d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 4,275.42–4,290.65 (-6.1%) | 4.3 | 2.2% | 18h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 24% ±25 | 68% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±23 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±25 | 39% ±48 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 3.51% | 1.27% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,133.04 (-9.5%) | 6.8 | 0.2% | 25m | 3.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±12 | 14% ±28 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 111 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 3,916.45 (-14.3%) | 10 | 1.3% | 11h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±16 | 10% ±42 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,422.84–3,879.89 (-15.1%) | 11 | 2.0% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 112 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,633.08–3,648.81 (-20.1%) | 14 | 7.0% | 2.0d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 128 → 3 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,349.71–3,353.51 (-26.6%) | 19 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 161 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,568.49 | 4,290.65 | 4,828.98 | expired | -1.27% |