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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,704.76 (+3.5%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 64% ±30 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 19% ±10 | 64% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 95% | 16h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,544.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,352.84–4,458.72 (-1.9%) | 1.2 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 57% ±37 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 35% ±14 | 58% ±34 | 63% ±55 | 74% | 12h | 3.99% | 0.61% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,304.23 (-5.3%) | 3.3 | 2.2% | 17h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 45% ±56 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 22% ±18 | 45% ±49 | 45% | 45% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,223.89 (-7.1%) | 4.4 | 2.3% | 22h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 27% ±26 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 27% ±26 | 46% ±49 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,149.53 (-8.7%) | 5.4 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 9% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 19% ±35 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | — | — | 98 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,911.69 (-13.9%) | 8.7 | 1.6% | 15h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±16 | 15% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,470.53–3,876.39 (-14.7%) | 9.1 | 2.4% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,638.17–3,648.81 (-19.7%) | 12 | 7.8% | 2.2d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±12 | > 7d | — | — | 120 → 3 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,347–3,353.51 (-26.2%) | 16 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 163 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.