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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,690.82 (+3.5%) | 2.1 | 1.5% | 7h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 63% ±30 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 18% ±10 | 63% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 95% | 17h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,532.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,355.56–4,460.79 (-1.6%) | 1.0 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 62% ±36 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 40% ±14 | 63% ±34 | 67% ±53 | 80% | 11h | 3.99% | 0.61% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 4,292.16–4,304.23 (-5.0%) | 3.1 | 2.2% | 17h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 42% ±32 | 68% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 26% ±23 | 14 | 12% ±8 | 41% ±31 | 54% ±56 | 54% | 1.8d | 3.51% | 1.27% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,146.77 (-8.5%) | 5.2 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 10% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 21% ±35 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,917.12 (-13.6%) | 8.3 | 1.4% | 12h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 6% ±21 | 19% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,461.14–3,882.04 (-14.3%) | 8.8 | 2.3% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±6 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,645.29–3,648.81 (-19.5%) | 12 | 8.0% | 2.2d | 4.0d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±12 | > 7d | — | — | 117 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,353.51–3,355.92 (-26.0%) | 16 | 1.4% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 6% ±23 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.