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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,658.41 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 90% ±21 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 74% ±12 | 90% ±21 | 96% ±22 | 96% | 1h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,626.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,352.23–4,450.4 (-3.8%) | 2.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 25% ±24 | 62% ±30 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 10 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±23 | 39% ±43 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 3.99% | 0.61% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,361.85 (-5.7%) | 4.3 | 0.4% | 1h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 17% ±42 | 65% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 4% ±8 | 13% ±33 | 13% | 13% | > 7d | 3.05% | 1.70% | 22 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,292.31 (-7.2%) | 5.4 | 2.1% | 18h | 3.8d ago · 106× | 14% ±20 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±19 | 31% ±45 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,152.2 (-10.3%) | 7.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 10% ±22 | 24% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 3,910.47 (-15.5%) | 12 | 1.4% | 13h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 4% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| HVN zone | 3,485.06–3,877.74 (-16.2%) | 12 | 2.0% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 3,640.5–3,648.81 (-21.1%) | 16 | 6.9% | 1.9d | 3.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 134 → 3 |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,353.51–3,354.17 (-27.5%) | 21 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.