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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+8.6%) | 6.8 | <0.1% | 34m | 4.3d ago · 70× | 31% ±30 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±6 | 31% ±30 | 74% ±50 | 98% | 1.6d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 56 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,636.83 (+5.1%) | 4.0 | 1.6% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 49% ±28 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 5% ±5 | 48% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 96% ±28 | 1.1d | 1.79% | 2.05% | 73 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,428.79–4,444.01 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.8d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 0 → 0 |
| at post · 4,413.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,337.49–4,398.36 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 73% ±39 | 64% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 14% ±21 | 11 | 53% ±18 | 75% ±38 | 78% ±57 | 82% | 4h | 3.88% | 0.70% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,285.27–4,297.03 (-2.6%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 51% ±37 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 20% ±12 | 51% ±37 | 63% ±67 | 67% | 1.0d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,157.06 (-5.8%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 14% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±17 | 25% ±38 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 91 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,926.63 (-11.0%) | 8.7 | 0.8% | 6h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±16 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 92 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,485.34–3,865.76 (-12.4%) | 9.8 | 2.1% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.82 (-16.5%) | 13 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 59× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 3,645.12 (-17.4%) | 14 | 6.2% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,363.6 (-23.8%) | 19 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 163 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.