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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+8.4%) | 6.3 | <0.1% | 38m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 34% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±6 | 34% ±29 | 78% ±47 | 98% | 1.5d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,620.42 (+4.4%) | 3.3 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 57% ±28 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 8% ±6 | 56% ±28 | 76% ±42 | 96% ±28 | 21h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 74 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,438.08–4,467.74 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.8d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 1 → 1 |
| at post · 4,423.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,334.27–4,378.76 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 0.7% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 68% ±37 | 64% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 14% ±21 | 11 | 43% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 73% ±62 | 83% | 7h | 3.88% | 0.70% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,297.03 (-2.9%) | 2.2 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 49% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±15 | 48% ±40 | 60% ±68 | 68% | 1.2d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 7D POC | 4,221.99 (-4.6%) | 3.4 | 1.9% | 18h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 37% ±30 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 6% ±6 | 35% ±28 | 54% ±49 | 54% ±69 | 2.0d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,154.93 (-6.1%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 14% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±17 | 25% ±38 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 88 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,919.03 (-11.4%) | 8.6 | 1.1% | 9h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 16% ±51 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,503.79–3,874.54 (-12.4%) | 9.3 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,742.44 (-15.4%) | 12 | 5.9% | 2.2d | 3.8d ago · 59× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 6% ±17 | 18% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 149 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 3,644.68 (-17.6%) | 13 | 6.6% | 1.8d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 78 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,355.49 (-24.1%) | 18 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 161 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.