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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+7.1%) | 5.5 | <0.1% | 37m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 33% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±28 | 78% ±41 | 95% ±29 | 1.5d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,621.32 (+3.3%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 62% ±26 | 45% ±24 | 10% ±14 | 45% ±24 | 17 | 13% ±7 | 63% ±26 | 78% ±41 | 96% ±28 | 17h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,474.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,334.27–4,393.59 (-1.8%) | 1.4 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 55% ±33 | 64% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 14% ±21 | 11 | 30% ±12 | 56% ±32 | 60% ±56 | 70% | 16h | 3.88% | 0.70% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,295.59–4,297.03 (-4.0%) | 3.1 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 37% ±31 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 10% ±7 | 36% ±30 | 50% ±57 | 53% | 3.6d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,158.24 (-7.1%) | 5.5 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 9% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 18% ±31 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 3,933.86 (-12.1%) | 9.3 | 0.7% | 4h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±14 | 12% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,503.79–3,874.54 (-13.4%) | 10 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,800.06 (-15.1%) | 12 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 3.8d ago · 59× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±17 | 18% ±38 | > 7d | — | — | 151 → 4 |
| 30D POC | 3,644.68 (-18.5%) | 14 | 6.5% | 1.8d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,370.32 (-24.7%) | 19 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 166 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.