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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+8.0%) | 6.2 | <0.1% | 35m | 4.3d ago · 70× | 33% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±5 | 33% ±29 | 77% ±48 | 97% | 1.6d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,607.99 (+3.8%) | 3.0 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 58% ±27 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 10% ±6 | 57% ±26 | 76% ±37 | 96% ±28 | 18h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,440.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,405.07 (-0.8%) | 0.6 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 73% ±36 | 64% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 14% ±21 | 11 | 44% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 77% ±58 | 84% | 6h | 3.88% | 0.70% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,290.48–4,297.03 (-3.2%) | 2.5 | 2.0% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 46% ±35 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 13% ±9 | 44% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 62% | 1.5d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,158.98 (-6.3%) | 5.0 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 12% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 23% ±34 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 100 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,944.11 (-11.2%) | 8.8 | 0.5% | 2h | 8.3d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 3% ±16 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-12.8%) | 10 | 2.0% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,828.87 (-13.8%) | 11 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 59× | 3% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 8% ±21 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 132 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-17.8%) | 14 | 6.4% | 1.7d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-24.2%) | 19 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.