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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+8.8%) | 6.8 | <0.1% | 36m | 4.3d ago · 70× | 32% ±30 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 5% ±5 | 31% ±29 | 75% ±49 | 98% | 1.6d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,607.99 (+4.5%) | 3.5 | 1.6% | 9h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 54% ±28 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 7% ±6 | 53% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 96% ±28 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 79 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,520.31–4,534.71 (+2.5%) | 2.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.8d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 1 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 4,408 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,376.26 (-0.7%) | 0.6 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 72% ±36 | 64% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 14% ±21 | 11 | 48% ±15 | 76% ±32 | 79% ±57 | 86% | 5h | 3.88% | 0.70% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,290.48–4,297.03 (-2.5%) | 1.9 | 2.0% | 16h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 55% ±37 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 20% ±12 | 52% ±35 | 64% ±54 | 67% | 19h | 3.98% | 0.84% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,158.98 (-5.6%) | 4.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 15% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±18 | 26% ±38 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 3,972.92 (-9.9%) | 7.6 | 0.5% | 2h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 9% ±25 | 21% ±57 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-12.2%) | 9.4 | 2.0% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,843.28 (-12.8%) | 9.9 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 5% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 12% ±26 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | — | — | 113 → 3 |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-17.2%) | 13 | 6.4% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-23.6%) | 18 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 165 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.