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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+8.2%) | 9.2 | <0.1% | 15m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 27% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±5 | 26% ±27 | 64% ±54 | 98% | 1.9d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,610.14 (+4.1%) | 4.6 | 1.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 49% ±28 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 96% ±29 | 1.1d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,429.78 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-1.5%) | 1.7 | 0.4% | 50m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 52% ±31 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 23% ±10 | 54% ±29 | 57% ±49 | 65% ±66 | 19h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,296.31–4,297.03 (-3.0%) | 3.4 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 34% ±28 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±26 | 46% ±49 | 49% ±69 | 2.8d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,166.34 (-5.9%) | 6.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 7% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 15% ±26 | 32% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 125 → 3 |
| 30D VAH | 4,016.14 (-9.3%) | 10 | 0.3% | 3h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±25 | > 7d | — | — | 110 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,900.9 (-11.9%) | 13 | 1.0% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 3% ±11 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 180 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-12.6%) | 14 | 1.5% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 157 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-17.6%) | 20 | 4.5% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 134 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-24.0%) | 27 | 0.2% | 44m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 191 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.