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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,781.32–4,794 (+8.4%) | 11 | 0.2% | 1h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 14% ±25 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±24 | 45% ±56 | 97% | 2.9d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,619.65 (+4.7%) | 6.2 | 1.1% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 17% ±37 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±37 | 42% | 96% | 3.9d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 22 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,410.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-1.1%) | 1.5 | 0.3% | 41m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 57% ±32 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 30% ±11 | 60% ±30 | 63% ±55 | 71% | 12h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,356.54 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 0.3% | 37m | 3.8d ago · 85× | 32% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 23% ±15 | 32% ±41 | 39% ±68 | 55% | 6.8d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 4,285.2 (-2.9%) | 3.8 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 26% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±6 | 24% ±28 | 33% ±53 | 39% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,030.54 (-8.6%) | 11 | 0.4% | 4h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±22 | > 7d | — | — | 118 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,915.79 (-11.2%) | 15 | 0.7% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 10% ±29 | > 7d | — | — | 185 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-12.2%) | 16 | 1.3% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 156 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-17.3%) | 23 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 153 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-23.6%) | 31 | 0.1% | 36m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 185 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.