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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+7.0%) | 9.6 | <0.1% | 11m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 26% ±29 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 25% ±27 | 63% ±55 | 98% | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 61 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,762.3 (+6.3%) | 8.7 | 0.5% | 3h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 6% ±21 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 6% ±18 | 35% ±66 | 97% | 3.9d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,481.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,410.43 (-1.6%) | 2.2 | 1.1% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 106× | 52% ±37 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 14% ±10 | 49% ±35 | 59% ±56 | 59% | 1.2d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,369.22 (-2.5%) | 3.4 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 21% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±24 | 32% ±46 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-2.7%) | 3.7 | 0.3% | 40m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 29% ±22 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 7% ±5 | 29% ±22 | 39% ±43 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 3.81% | 1.12% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,216.56 (-5.9%) | 8.1 | 1.2% | 10h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 5% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±12 | 5% ±20 | 5% ±32 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 4,059.35 (-9.4%) | 13 | 0.2% | 2h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 3% ±18 | > 7d | — | — | 123 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,924.44 (-12.4%) | 17 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 182 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-13.6%) | 19 | 1.2% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-18.6%) | 26 | 3.8% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 148 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-24.8%) | 34 | 0.1% | 35m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 177 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.