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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+5.8%) | 7.7 | <0.1% | 12m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 27% ±27 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±5 | 25% ±26 | 67% ±46 | 99% ±16 | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,749.62 (+4.8%) | 6.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 33% ±33 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±5 | 32% ±31 | 62% ±55 | 98% | 2.0d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,533.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,410.43 (-2.7%) | 3.6 | 1.1% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 28% ±25 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 5% ±5 | 27% ±24 | 45% ±49 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,369.22 (-3.6%) | 4.8 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 12% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 21% ±33 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 103 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-3.8%) | 5.0 | 0.3% | 42m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 18% ±18 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±18 | 30% ±37 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 3.81% | 1.12% | 109 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,291.05 (-5.3%) | 7.1 | 1.3% | 10h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±14 | 8% ±26 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 79 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 4,116.97 (-9.2%) | 12 | <0.1% | 7m | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±21 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,935.63 (-13.2%) | 18 | 0.4% | 2h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 184 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-14.6%) | 19 | 1.3% | 12h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 137 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-19.5%) | 26 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 150 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-26.0%) | 35 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 176 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.