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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+6.2%) | 8.8 | <0.1% | 11m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 25% ±27 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±25 | 64% ±47 | 99% ±16 | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,743.62 (+5.1%) | 7.2 | 0.7% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 30% ±34 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 29% ±31 | 60% ±55 | 98% | 2.1d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,515.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,412.99 (-2.3%) | 3.2 | 1.1% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 33% ±28 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 7% ±6 | 32% ±26 | 48% ±49 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 3.98% | 0.84% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,378.35 (-3.0%) | 4.3 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 14% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±17 | 24% ±38 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-3.4%) | 4.8 | 0.3% | 39m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 20% ±18 | 60% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 13% ±19 | 12 | 4% ±3 | 20% ±18 | 32% ±37 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 3.81% | 1.12% | 111 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,287.4 (-5.0%) | 7.2 | 1.2% | 9h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±14 | 7% ±23 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 4,188.99 (-7.2%) | 10 | 0.9% | 7h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±13 | 7% ±29 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,978.17 (-11.9%) | 17 | 0.3% | 1h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±27 | > 7d | — | — | 185 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,511.96–3,872.09 (-14.2%) | 20 | 1.2% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-19.2%) | 27 | 3.4% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-25.7%) | 37 | <0.1% | 8m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 169 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.