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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+7.4%) | 9.2 | <0.1% | 13m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 24% ±26 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±25 | 61% ±48 | 99% ±17 | 2.1d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,737.32 (+6.1%) | 7.6 | 0.9% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 14% ±28 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±5 | 13% ±25 | 50% ±69 | 98% | 3.1d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,465.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,412.99 (-1.2%) | 1.5 | 1.3% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 59% ±32 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 33% ±12 | 60% ±32 | 67% ±53 | 70% | 14h | 3.98% | 0.84% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,384.65 (-1.8%) | 2.3 | 0.8% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 22% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 12% ±11 | 21% ±36 | 34% ±66 | 46% | > 7d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-2.3%) | 2.9 | 0.3% | 45m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 33% ±24 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 9% ±6 | 32% ±24 | 40% ±43 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,288.72 (-4.0%) | 4.9 | 1.4% | 11h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 16% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±21 | 20% ±39 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | — | — | 64 → 2 |
| 30D VAH | 4,203.4 (-5.9%) | 7.3 | 1.1% | 8h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 10% ±27 | 22% ±58 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,993.42 (-10.6%) | 13 | 0.3% | 45m | 3.8d ago · 59× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±11 | 14% ±34 | > 7d | — | — | 183 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,526.37–3,886.49 (-13.0%) | 16 | 1.0% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-18.3%) | 23 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 158 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-24.9%) | 31 | <0.1% | 9m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 190 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.