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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+7.5%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 15m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 24% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±24 | 65% ±47 | 99% ±16 | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,731.02 (+6.1%) | 6.8 | 1.0% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 28% ±31 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 27% ±29 | 58% ±56 | 98% | 2.5d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,461.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,412.99 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 1.4% | 14h | 3.9d ago · 106× | 67% ±31 | 71% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 46% ±13 | 67% ±31 | 73% ±50 | 76% | 6h | 3.98% | 0.84% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,384.65 (-1.7%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 24% ±38 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 13% ±12 | 23% ±37 | 26% ±61 | 44% | > 7d | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,333.04–4,361.85 (-2.2%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 51m | 2.2d ago · 47× | 38% ±25 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±25 | 43% ±43 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,290.12 (-3.8%) | 4.3 | 1.5% | 12h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 20% ±25 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±24 | 24% ±49 | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,203.4 (-5.8%) | 6.5 | 1.3% | 9h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 13% ±33 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 4,015.86 (-10.0%) | 11 | 0.3% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±17 | 19% ±39 | > 7d | — | — | 153 → 4 |
| HVN zone | 3,526.37–3,886.49 (-12.9%) | 14 | 1.2% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-18.2%) | 20 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-24.8%) | 28 | <0.1% | 10m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 199 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.