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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,794 (+10.6%) | 10 | <0.1% | 21m | 4.2d ago · 70× | 24% ±27 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 23% ±25 | 58% ±48 | 99% ±17 | 2.2d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,724.73 (+9.0%) | 8.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 5% ±18 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 35% ±66 | 98% | 4.4d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,412.99 (+1.8%) | 1.7 | 1.6% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 84% ±36 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 36% ±20 | 84% ±36 | 92% | 96% | 6h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 23 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,378.35 (+1.0%) | 0.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 8.0d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,347.45–4,361.85 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 2.8d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 2 → 1 |
| at post · 4,335 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,289.83–4,304.23 (-0.7%) | 0.7 | 1.8% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 80% ±32 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 73% ±14 | 80% ±32 | 80% ±55 | 83% | 1h | 2.76% | 1.38% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,290.12 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 74% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 63% ±16 | 74% ±35 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 2h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,217.8 (-2.7%) | 2.6 | 1.6% | 14h | 8.1d ago · 38× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 6% ±13 | 6% ±34 | 37% | 50% | 6.8d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-4.0%) | 3.8 | 0.6% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 27% ±22 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 6% ±5 | 31% ±22 | 40% ±39 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,054.13 (-6.5%) | 6.1 | 0.4% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 17% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±24 | 32% ±53 | 43% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.8%) | 15 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 99 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-22.6%) | 21 | <0.1% | 12m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 192 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.