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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,781.49 (+10.1%) | 8.0 | 0.3% | 2h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 23% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 22% ±23 | 61% ±48 | 99% ±16 | 2.2d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,725.2 (+8.8%) | 7.0 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 28% ±31 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 27% ±29 | 58% ±56 | 98% | 2.5d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,415.6 (+1.7%) | 1.4 | 1.9% | 18h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 90% ±26 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 45% ±18 | 90% ±27 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 5h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,368.69 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 6 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,347.45–4,361.85 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 50× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 3 → 1 |
| at post · 4,341.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,304.23 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 2.4% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 80% ±32 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 73% ±14 | 80% ±29 | 80% ±55 | 83% | 1h | 2.76% | 1.38% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,287.17 (-1.3%) | 1.0 | 2.6% | 18h | 4.0d ago · 85× | 74% ±35 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 64% ±16 | 75% ±35 | 83% ±52 | 86% | 2h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,232.21 (-2.5%) | 2.0 | 1.9% | 17h | 8.2d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | 25% ±27 | 25% ±60 | 42% | 50% | > 7d | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-4.2%) | 3.3 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 28% ±22 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 8% ±5 | 30% ±22 | 39% ±39 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,143.26 (-4.6%) | 3.6 | 0.2% | 45m | 3.9d ago · 59× | 50% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±49 | 58% | 62% | 1.5d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-16.0%) | 13 | 5.7% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 82 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-22.8%) | 18 | <0.1% | 15m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 167 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 4,341.62 | 4,781.49 | 4,143.26 | expired | -0.87% |