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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,727.08–4,756.46 (+9.5%) | 6.9 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 26% ±25 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±4 | 24% ±23 | 60% ±48 | 99% ±17 | 2.3d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,413.75 (+2.2%) | 1.6 | 2.0% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 88% ±32 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 37% ±19 | 86% ±34 | 91% | 96% | 6h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,374.2 (+1.3%) | 0.9 | 1.1% | 4h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 4,318.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 4,287.17 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 21h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 77% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 67% ±17 | 79% ±36 | 85% ±50 | 88% | 2h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,246.61 (-1.7%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-3.7%) | 2.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 36% ±24 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 9% ±6 | 38% ±24 | 46% ±44 | 52% ±69 | 4.8d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,155.78 (-3.8%) | 2.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 61% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 16% ±15 | 60% ±48 | 60% | 60% | 18h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,555.18–3,857.68 (-10.7%) | 7.7 | 2.5% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 3% ±8 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±15 | 2% ±22 | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.5%) | 11 | 6.1% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-22.3%) | 16 | <0.1% | 18m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 154 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.