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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-18 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,720.99–4,743.94 (+9.0%) | 6.5 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 27% ±26 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±4 | 26% ±25 | 60% ±48 | 99% ±17 | 2.3d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,413.75 (+1.9%) | 1.4 | 2.0% | 20h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 90% ±26 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 42% ±17 | 86% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 97% | 6h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 31 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,368.12 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 1.1% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 4,330.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,318.64 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 83% ±30 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 78% ±14 | 84% ±29 | 84% ±51 | 86% | 1h | 2.76% | 1.38% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 4,287.17 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 21h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 78% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 66% ±16 | 78% ±33 | 85% ±50 | 88% | 2h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| 30D VAH | 4,246.61 (-1.9%) | 1.4 | 2.1% | 16h | 8.1d ago · 38× | building | building | building | building | building | 2 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,168.29 (-3.7%) | 2.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 61% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 15% ±14 | 59% ±48 | 59% | 59% | 19h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-3.9%) | 2.9 | 0.7% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 33% ±24 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 9% ±6 | 34% ±23 | 44% ±43 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.7%) | 11 | 6.1% | 1.7d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-22.6%) | 16 | <0.1% | 18m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 156 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.