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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,719.91–4,743.94 (+8.7%) | 6.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 28% ±25 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±25 | 61% ±48 | 99% ±16 | 2.3d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,415.02 (+1.7%) | 1.2 | 2.1% | 20h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 90% ±26 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 46% ±17 | 85% ±29 | 91% ±40 | 97% | 5h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,366.58 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 4,340.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,318.64 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 81% ±31 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 78% ±13 | 83% ±30 | 83% ±53 | 85% | 1h | 2.76% | 1.38% | 38 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D VAH | 4,261.02–4,287.17 (-1.2%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 22h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 79% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 68% ±16 | 81% ±31 | 86% ±47 | 89% | 2h | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,168.29 (-4.0%) | 2.8 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 59% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 15% ±14 | 56% ±49 | 56% | 56% | 19h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-4.2%) | 3.0 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 32% ±23 | 63% ±26 | 25% ±24 | 13% ±18 | 13 | 9% ±6 | 33% ±22 | 42% ±39 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 3.88% | 0.70% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.9%) | 11 | 6.2% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-22.7%) | 16 | <0.1% | 18m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 157 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.