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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,721.76–4,731.43 (+11.5%) | 8.5 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 16% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±19 | 49% ±49 | 98% ±17 | 3.1d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,411.74 (+4.2%) | 3.1 | 2.0% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 48% ±49 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 10% ±11 | 44% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 97% | 1.9d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,366.59 (+3.1%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 5 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,261.02–4,287.17 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.4% | 17h | 4.1d ago · 79× | 82% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 61% ±24 | 83% ±42 | 89% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,318.64 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.4% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 74% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 63% ±20 | 75% ±42 | 96% | 96% | 3h | — | — | 22 → 1 |
| at post · 4,233.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,168.29 (-1.5%) | 1.1 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 77% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 54% ±29 | 77% ±58 | 77% | 77% | 3h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-1.7%) | 1.3 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 59% ±30 | 59% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 33% ±12 | 58% ±31 | 65% ±54 | 74% | 12h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 58 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,555.18–3,857.68 (-8.9%) | 6.5 | 2.4% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 6% ±15 | 43% ±29 | 36% ±28 | 21% ±24 | 11 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±15 | 7% ±29 | 7% | > 7d | 2.76% | 1.38% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,749.64 (-11.4%) | 8.4 | 6.0% | 2.1d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 3% ±13 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-20.8%) | 15 | <0.1% | 17m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 150 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.