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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,718.91–4,721.76 (+10.9%) | 8.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 15% ±20 | 43% ±23 | 8% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±19 | 46% ±49 | 98% ±17 | 3.1d | 1.83% | 2.21% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,411.74 (+3.7%) | 2.9 | 1.8% | 18h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 50% ±49 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 11% ±12 | 46% ±49 | 71% | 96% | 1.1d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 25 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,366.59 (+2.6%) | 2.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,261.02–4,287.17 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 16h | 4.0d ago · 79× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 64% ±27 | 74% ±61 | 83% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,318.64 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 81% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 78% ±20 | 83% ±42 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 4,254.63 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,168.29 (-2.0%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 73% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 38% ±25 | 73% ±62 | 73% | 73% | 7h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,160.18 (-2.2%) | 1.8 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 54% ±29 | 59% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 24% ±10 | 52% ±28 | 58% ±48 | 66% ±66 | 20h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,555.18–3,857.68 (-9.3%) | 7.4 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 3% ±9 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 3% ±16 | 3% ±22 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,749.64 (-11.9%) | 9.4 | 5.6% | 2.0d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 2% ±10 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 2% ±15 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 56 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 3,353.51 (-21.2%) | 17 | <0.1% | 14m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 159 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.