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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,772.13 (+16.3%) | 13 | 0.5% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 3% ±15 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 10% ±42 | 97% | 4.6d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,683.15 (+14.1%) | 11 | 1.1% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 16% ±23 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±22 | 43% ±49 | 99% ±17 | 3.5d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,629.97 (+12.9%) | 10 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 5% ±25 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±9 | 4% ±20 | 14% | 96% | 4.1d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 21 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,342 (+5.8%) | 4.6 | 1.3% | 8h | 8.0d ago · 56× | 22% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 22% ±47 | 84% | 95% | 2.0d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,275.42–4,295.18 (+4.2%) | 3.3 | 2.9% | 20h | 4.0d ago · 79× | 32% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 12% ±11 | 31% ±37 | 48% ±69 | 88% | 3.1d | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,246.61–4,318.64 (+3.5%) | 2.8 | 2.1% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 79% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 19% ±18 | 78% ±47 | 95% | 95% | 11h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,153.54 (+1.2%) | 1.0 | 0.9% | 5h | 23.8d ago · 46× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 4,102.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,569.58–3,857.68 (-6.0%) | 4.8 | 2.2% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 30% ±45 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 8% ±11 | 29% ±45 | 34% | 34% | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-11.1%) | 8.8 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 2% ±11 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 2% | > 7d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-17.9%) | 14 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | > 7d | — | — | 142 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.