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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,771.98 (+14.5%) | 12 | 0.5% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 3% ±13 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 12% ±45 | 98% | 4.6d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,683.66 (+12.4%) | 10 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 18% ±23 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±21 | 45% ±49 | 99% ±16 | 3.5d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,533.43 (+8.8%) | 7.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 11% ±31 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±27 | 29% ±63 | 97% | 4.1d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,331.58 (+3.9%) | 3.3 | 1.7% | 9h | 8.0d ago · 56× | 27% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 5% ±10 | 23% ±48 | 81% | 95% | 2.2d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,275.42–4,297.47 (+2.6%) | 2.1 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.0d ago · 79× | 51% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 25% ±17 | 48% ±49 | 56% | 85% | 1.4d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,246.61–4,318.64 (+1.9%) | 1.6 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 70% ±45 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 34% ±18 | 68% ±41 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 9h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| at post · 4,168.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,156.48 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 1.0% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 59× | building | building | building | building | building | 3 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 0.8% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 79% ±30 | 59% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 52% ±15 | 80% ±30 | 82% ±53 | 86% | 4h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,569.58–3,857.68 (-7.4%) | 6.2 | 2.1% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 8% ±19 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 4% ±5 | 7% ±17 | 9% ±33 | 9% | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-12.5%) | 10 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 2% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-19.2%) | 16 | 0.2% | 60m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 161 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,168.11 | 4,297.47 | 4,061.59 | target | +3.01% |