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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,771.98 (+12.6%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 2% ±11 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 24% ±48 | 98% | 4.4d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 49 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,671.71 (+10.3%) | 8.8 | 1.0% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 20% ±22 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±21 | 51% ±44 | 99% ±15 | 3.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,533.43 (+7.0%) | 6.0 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 16% ±36 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±7 | 15% ±35 | 42% | 96% | 4.3d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,324.24 (+2.1%) | 1.8 | 2.0% | 11h | 8.1d ago · 56× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | 31% ±27 | 46% ±69 | 46% | 92% | 3.4d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,275.42–4,298.71 (+0.9%) | 0.8 | 2.8% | 19h | 4.1d ago · 79× | 71% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 52% ±22 | 74% ±50 | 79% | 90% | 4h | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| at post · 4,236.95 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,158.07 (-1.9%) | 1.6 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 73% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 35% ±24 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 76% | 7h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-2.2%) | 1.8 | 0.8% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 49% ±28 | 59% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 20% ±9 | 51% ±28 | 61% ±48 | 68% ±65 | 23h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 72 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,569.58–3,843.28 (-9.3%) | 7.9 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-13.9%) | 12 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-20.5%) | 17 | 0.2% | 59m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.