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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 4,771.98 (+13.5%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 2% ±11 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 21% ±46 | 98% | 4.4d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,659.48 (+10.9%) | 8.9 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 19% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±20 | 50% ±44 | 99% ±15 | 3.1d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,533.43 (+7.9%) | 6.5 | 1.4% | 8h | 4.0d ago · 104× | 15% ±35 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 3% ±6 | 14% ±30 | 38% ±67 | 97% | 3.9d | 2.17% | 1.44% | 29 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 4,275.42–4,309.56 (+1.7%) | 1.4 | 2.9% | 20h | 4.0d ago · 79× | 65% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 32% ±19 | 53% ±49 | 56% | 87% | 1.5d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,217.8–4,246.61 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.7% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 74% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 70% ±20 | 74% ±43 | 96% | 96% | 1h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
| at post · 4,203.28 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 4,145.84 (-1.4%) | 1.1 | 0.9% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 77% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 53% ±25 | 82% ±43 | 82% | 82% | 3h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-1.4%) | 1.1 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 65% ±30 | 59% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 18% ±20 | 14 | 42% ±12 | 68% ±28 | 75% ±42 | 83% ±52 | 7h | 3.81% | 1.12% | 63 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,569.58–3,843.28 (-8.6%) | 7.0 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 4% ±11 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 4% ±19 | 4% ±27 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-13.2%) | 11 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | — | — | 75 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-19.9%) | 16 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | — | — | 166 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.