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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,643.56 (+8.0%) | 6.4 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 25% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±24 | 61% ±48 | 99% ±15 | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,544.44 (+5.7%) | 4.6 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 42% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±26 | 62% ±43 | 93% ±34 | 1.3d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,302.18–4,305.89 (+0.1%) | 0.0 | 3.5% | 23h | 4.1d ago · 104× | 92% ±31 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 80% ±17 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 20 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,299.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,275.42 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 3.2% | 21h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 85% ±50 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 69% ±27 | 85% ±50 | 85% | 85% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,217.8–4,246.61 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 2.4% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 75% ±30 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 65% ±13 | 75% ±30 | 75% ±49 | 81% | 2h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 50 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-3.6%) | 2.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 37% ±23 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 10% ±6 | 37% ±23 | 49% ±40 | 52% ±69 | 4.5d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 103 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,111.38–4,134.38 (-3.8%) | 3.1 | 0.9% | 6h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 35% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±7 | 36% ±27 | 46% ±49 | 62% ±67 | 3.9d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.1%) | 12 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 90 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-21.7%) | 17 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 172 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 4,299.77 | 5,207.28 | 3,648.81 | expired | -1.85% |