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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,633.25 (+7.2%) | 5.7 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 27% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 27% ±24 | 64% ±47 | 93% ±35 | 2.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,537.1 (+5.0%) | 4.0 | 1.5% | 10h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 44% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±26 | 65% ±42 | 92% ±37 | 1.2d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 84 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,322.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,261.02–4,318.64 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 89% ±25 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 82% ±13 | 87% ±27 | 87% ±47 | 90% | 1h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,305.89–4,306.01 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 3.6% | 23h | 4.0d ago · 106× | 81% ±32 | 66% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 70% ±15 | 81% ±31 | 85% ±49 | 89% | 2h | 3.26% | 1.33% | 38 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,275.42 (-1.1%) | 0.9 | 3.4% | 22h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 79% ±57 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 63% ±25 | 78% ±57 | 78% | 78% | 2h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,133.4–4,151 (-4.0%) | 3.2 | 1.2% | 8h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 36% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±7 | 36% ±27 | 47% ±49 | 61% ±67 | 4.0d | — | — | 73 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-4.1%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 33% ±22 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 9% ±5 | 33% ±21 | 44% ±40 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.6%) | 12 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 94 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-22.1%) | 18 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 176 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.