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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,634.86 (+7.9%) | 6.3 | 1.7% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 25% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 25% ±23 | 59% ±43 | 99% ±15 | 2.1d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,529.76 (+5.5%) | 4.4 | 1.5% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 43% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±26 | 64% ±42 | 92% ±38 | 1.2d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,305.89 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 96% ±20 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 84% ±15 | 96% ±19 | 96% | 96% | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,293.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,288.16–4,289.83 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 85× | 82% ±38 | 57% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 77% ±16 | 83% ±33 | 87% ±47 | 87% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.85% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,217.8–4,246.61 (-1.1%) | 0.9 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 76% ±30 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 68% ±13 | 76% ±28 | 76% ±49 | 80% | 2h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,133.4–4,146.07 (-3.4%) | 2.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 41% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±8 | 41% ±31 | 49% ±57 | 60% | 4.2d | — | — | 58 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-3.4%) | 2.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 39% ±23 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±23 | 50% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 2.1d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.0%) | 12 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-21.6%) | 17 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 174 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.