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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,621.08 (+7.9%) | 6.2 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 25% ±24 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 24% ±22 | 59% ±43 | 95% ±30 | 2.1d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,540.76 (+6.0%) | 4.7 | 1.6% | 10h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 40% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 5% ±4 | 40% ±26 | 59% ±43 | 91% ±40 | 1.7d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,289.83–4,303.92 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.0d ago · 104× | 86% ±34 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 70% ±17 | 87% ±29 | 89% ±43 | 91% | 1h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,284.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,217.8–4,246.61 (-0.9%) | 0.7 | 2.5% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 82% ±29 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 73% ±13 | 80% ±28 | 80% ±45 | 83% | 1h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,145.57–4,166.05 (-2.8%) | 2.2 | 1.8% | 11h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 44% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 15% ±13 | 45% ±44 | 53% ±69 | 59% | 18h | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-3.2%) | 2.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 41% ±24 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±23 | 51% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 2.1d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-14.8%) | 12 | 5.0% | 1.4d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 89 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-21.4%) | 17 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 171 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 4,284.09 | 4,166.05 | 4,540.76 | expired | -1.02% |
| 14d | POC | short | 4,284.09 | 4,145.57 | 4,621.08 | expired | -1.02% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 4,284.09 | 3,648.81 | 4,455.77 | expired | -1.02% |