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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,621.13 (+8.8%) | 6.9 | 1.8% | 12h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 21% ±21 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 21% ±20 | 53% ±44 | 99% ±15 | 2.6d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,484.56 (+5.6%) | 4.4 | 1.6% | 9h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 43% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±4 | 42% ±25 | 63% ±42 | 89% ±43 | 1.3d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,289.83–4,307.66 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 80% ±32 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 56% ±16 | 82% ±31 | 85% ±50 | 94% | 3h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,247.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,130.76–4,153.38 (-2.2%) | 1.7 | 1.3% | 8h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 48% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 23% ±15 | 49% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 63% | 7h | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-2.4%) | 1.9 | 1.1% | 7h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 51% ±28 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 19% ±9 | 51% ±27 | 60% ±48 | 67% ±65 | 1.0d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,583.99–3,843.28 (-9.5%) | 7.5 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±8 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±8 | 2% ±13 | 2% ±21 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-14.1%) | 11 | 4.9% | 1.4d | 4.0d ago · 72× | 1% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±15 | > 7d | — | — | 85 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-20.7%) | 16 | 0.2% | 1h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 171 → 4 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 4,247.83 | 3,648.81 | 4,455.77 | expired | +0.11% |