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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,595.7 (+8.9%) | 8.0 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 19% ±20 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±19 | 48% ±44 | 99% ±14 | 3.8d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,468.85 (+5.9%) | 5.3 | 1.5% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 38% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±4 | 37% ±25 | 57% ±43 | 95% ±29 | 2.0d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,289.83–4,307.14 (+1.7%) | 1.5 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 67% ±41 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 35% ±18 | 68% ±41 | 76% ±59 | 92% | 7h | 2.17% | 1.44% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,220.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,149.53–4,163.74 (-1.3%) | 1.2 | 1.5% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 57% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 38% ±19 | 55% ±49 | 60% | 68% | 3.7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-1.8%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 59% ±28 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 27% ±10 | 58% ±28 | 65% ±47 | 72% ±62 | 14h | 3.74% | 1.53% | 73 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,583.99–3,828.87 (-9.3%) | 8.3 | 2.9% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±5 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-13.5%) | 12 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | — | — | 96 → 2 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-20.2%) | 18 | 0.2% | 55m | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 187 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.