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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,597.02 (+8.4%) | 8.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 18% ±19 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±18 | 46% ±44 | 99% ±14 | 3.8d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,456.65 (+5.1%) | 4.9 | 1.3% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 40% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 4% ±4 | 38% ±25 | 57% ±43 | 92% ±37 | 1.9d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,289.83–4,307.14 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 104× | 75% ±38 | 53% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 46% ±17 | 76% ±34 | 78% ±57 | 92% | 5h | 2.23% | 1.54% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,240.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,156.15–4,163.74 (-1.8%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 52% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 24% ±14 | 50% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 65% | 4.2d | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-2.2%) | 2.1 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 47% ±26 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 15% ±7 | 46% ±25 | 56% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 1.3d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 89 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,583.99–3,828.87 (-9.7%) | 9.3 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 40% ±28 | 33% ±27 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-14.0%) | 13 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.9d ago · 72× | 1% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±11 | > 7d | — | — | 105 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-20.6%) | 20 | 0.2% | 51m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 200 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.