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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,557.17 (+5.3%) | 5.2 | 1.2% | 7h | 4.2d ago · 70× | 31% ±25 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±4 | 30% ±24 | 67% ±41 | 89% ±43 | 1.9d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,432.24 (+2.4%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 11h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 56% ±28 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 15% ±8 | 56% ±28 | 71% ±45 | 86% ±48 | 18h | 1.84% | 1.72% | 73 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,327.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,288.46–4,307.14 (-0.5%) | 0.5 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 83% ±28 | 62% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 68% ±14 | 83% ±28 | 86% ±47 | 89% | 2h | 3.09% | 1.48% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,147.27–4,163.74 (-3.8%) | 3.7 | 1.4% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 27% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±5 | 27% ±23 | 42% ±43 | 61% ±67 | 4.1d | — | — | 86 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-4.2%) | 4.1 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 30% ±20 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 6% ±4 | 29% ±19 | 40% ±36 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 123 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,713.63–3,828.87 (-11.5%) | 11 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±8 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 3,648.81 (-15.7%) | 15 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 72× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 127 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,367.91 (-22.2%) | 22 | 0.2% | 51m | 2.2d ago · 31× | 0% ±2 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 0% ±6 | > 7d | — | — | 214 → 5 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.