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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,779.6 (+12.6%) | 12 | 0.3% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 6% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±15 | 31% ±52 | 84% | 3.9d | — | — | 62 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,558.98 (+7.4%) | 7.2 | 1.1% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 20% ±20 | 38% ±26 | 6% ±13 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 19% ±19 | 50% ±44 | 85% ±50 | 4.0d | 1.82% | 2.89% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,401.62 (+3.7%) | 3.6 | 1.5% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 97× | 47% ±26 | 48% ±23 | 10% ±14 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 6% ±5 | 45% ±25 | 61% ±43 | 85% ±50 | 1.2d | 1.84% | 1.72% | 92 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,292.31–4,307.67 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 4.2d ago · 104× | 76% ±37 | 53% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 48% ±16 | 79% ±33 | 84% ±51 | 97% | 4h | 2.23% | 1.54% | 36 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,243.33 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 4,134.02–4,152.2 (-2.1%) | 2.1 | 1.0% | 6h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 42% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 15% ±10 | 38% ±32 | 48% ±57 | 56% | 4.7d | — | — | 51 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-2.3%) | 2.2 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 45% ±24 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 14% ±7 | 43% ±24 | 53% ±40 | 60% ±68 | 1.7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 99 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,713.63–3,843.28 (-9.4%) | 9.1 | 2.1% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 1% ±4 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 116 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,728.04 (-12.1%) | 12 | 2.6% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.