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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,794 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 0.1% | 45m | 22.3d ago · 44× | 86% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 64% ±20 | 88% ±32 | 88% | 88% | 2h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| at post · 4,744.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 4,554.11 (-4.0%) | 3.1 | 1.8% | 10h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 40% ±43 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 20% ±15 | 40% ±43 | 47% ±69 | 60% | 3.3d | 2.95% | 1.66% | 28 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,442.27 (-6.4%) | 4.9 | 1.8% | 14h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 18% ±21 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±21 | 30% ±45 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,203.4–4,333.04 (-8.7%) | 6.6 | 3.1% | 19h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 4% ±12 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 6% ±23 | 6% ±32 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,293.54–4,301.63 (-9.3%) | 7.1 | 5.6% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 10% ±16 | 62% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 16% ±32 | 23% ±59 | > 7d | 3.09% | 1.48% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,157.06–4,175.4 (-12.0%) | 9.1 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 3% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 10% ±21 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 145 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.71–4,145.78 (-12.6%) | 9.6 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 5% ±9 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 10% ±22 | 17% ±42 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 124 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,742.44 (-21.1%) | 16 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 175 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.