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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at post · 4,848.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 4,807.42 (-0.8%) | 0.6 | 0.4% | 1h | 8.2d ago · 38× | 88% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 72% ±22 | 89% ±36 | 89% | 89% | 2h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,565.96 (-5.8%) | 4.2 | 1.7% | 9h | 14.8d ago · 55× | 16% ±36 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 8% ±11 | 16% ±36 | 24% | 40% | > 7d | 2.95% | 1.66% | 24 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,455.92 (-8.1%) | 5.9 | 2.1% | 16h | 4.3d ago · 65× | 15% ±20 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 4% ±4 | 15% ±19 | 27% ±43 | 29% ±63 | > 7d | 3.97% | 0.68% | 78 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,201.62–4,337.93 (-10.5%) | 7.7 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 2% ±7 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 4,294.12–4,306.44 (-11.2%) | 8.2 | 5.6% | 1.6d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 7% ±12 | 62% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 32% ±23 | 16 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 11% ±25 | 16% ±51 | > 7d | 3.09% | 1.48% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,160.36–4,165.04 (-14.1%) | 10 | 2.2% | 14h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 2% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±18 | 20% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 144 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,929.02–4,125.9 (-14.9%) | 11 | 0.9% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 2% ±5 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 12% ±36 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,747.28 (-22.7%) | 17 | 3.9% | 1.5d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 180 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.