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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+3.1%) | 2.5 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 51% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 19% ±11 | 57% ±34 | 71% ±51 | 87% | 18h | — | — | 45 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,717.05–4,765.17 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 84% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 85% ±16 | 85% ±40 | 95% | 95% | 1h | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| at post · 4,716.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,706.32 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.3% | 14h | 4.2d ago · 65× | 79% ±57 | 64% ±28 | 7% ±15 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 73% ±24 | 73% ±61 | 73% | 73% | 1h | 3.97% | 0.68% | 13 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,670.42 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 1.5% | 6h | 14.7d ago · 55× | 81% ±27 | 67% ±24 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±23 | 15 | 63% ±14 | 81% ±27 | 83% ±43 | 83% | 2h | 2.95% | 1.66% | 47 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,171.63–4,348.09 (-7.8%) | 6.4 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 5% ±13 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 5% ±13 | 7% ±24 | 7% ±35 | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,288.91–4,297.88 (-8.9%) | 7.2 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 3.8d ago · 106× | 8% ±14 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 13% ±30 | 20% ±56 | > 7d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,176.7 (-11.4%) | 9.3 | 2.5% | 15h | 3.8d ago · 59× | 4% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±9 | 13% ±27 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 114 → 3 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-12.6%) | 10 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 2% ±6 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 7% ±19 | 14% ±39 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,060 (-13.9%) | 11 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±14 | 13% ±33 | > 7d | — | — | 152 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,802.67 (-19.4%) | 16 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±7 | > 7d | — | — | 182 → 4 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.