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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,452 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.19 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+5.7%) | 4.1 | 0.5% | 2h | 22.4d ago · 44× | 38% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 7% ±7 | 44% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 91% | 1.2d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 4,706.32 (+2.4%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 17h | 4.3d ago · 97× | 59% ±29 | 45% ±22 | 9% ±13 | 45% ±22 | 19 | 27% ±11 | 59% ±29 | 76% ±42 | 91% ±40 | 14h | 1.79% | 2.05% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,701–4,765.17 (+2.2%) | 1.6 | 2.4% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 83× | 72% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 34% ±18 | 72% ±39 | 97% ±25 | 97% | 9h | — | — | 27 → 1 |
| 14D VAH | 4,670.42 (+1.6%) | 1.1 | 1.7% | 7h | 4.3d ago · 70× | 82% ±27 | 35% ±25 | 6% ±12 | 59% ±26 | 14 | 63% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 3h | 1.81% | 3.15% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,597.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,187.67–4,348.09 (-5.4%) | 3.9 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 31% ±41 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±41 | 43% ±69 | 43% | > 7d | 2.66% | 1.52% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,288.91–4,306.86 (-6.3%) | 4.6 | 5.4% | 1.6d | 4.0d ago · 106× | 23% ±22 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 4% ±4 | 23% ±22 | 39% ±43 | 46% ±69 | 5.0d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,176.7 (-9.2%) | 6.6 | 2.7% | 17h | 3.9d ago · 59× | 13% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±18 | 28% ±44 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | — | — | 76 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-10.3%) | 7.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 47× | 7% ±11 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 16% ±27 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,060 (-11.7%) | 8.4 | 0.5% | 4h | 3.9d ago · 85× | 4% ±8 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±8 | 10% ±21 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | — | — | 146 → 3 |
| 30D VAL | 3,802.67 (-17.3%) | 12 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.3d ago · 31× | 1% ±3 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 137 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.