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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-08-25 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,451 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.25 to 0.42) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,861.42 (+4.7%) | 3.1 | 0.6% | 2h | 22.3d ago · 44× | 45% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 10% ±8 | 50% ±35 | 65% ±54 | 87% | 1.0d | — | — | 49 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,701–4,765.17 (+1.2%) | 0.8 | 2.6% | 15h | 1.4d ago · 83× | 82% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 61% ±16 | 82% ±31 | 97% ±23 | 97% | 3h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 4,688.37–4,706.32 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 2.1% | 10h | 4.2d ago · 97× | 86% ±22 | 41% ±22 | 8% ±12 | 51% ±22 | 19 | 67% ±12 | 85% ±22 | 92% ±31 | 94% | 2h | 1.80% | 2.51% | 62 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,644.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,620.8–4,636.84 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 90% ±22 | 38% ±26 | 31% ±25 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 79% ±12 | 91% ±22 | 91% ±40 | 93% | 1h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,288.91–4,306.86 (-7.3%) | 4.8 | 5.8% | 1.7d | 3.9d ago · 106× | 20% ±21 | 59% ±23 | 6% ±11 | 36% ±23 | 17 | 3% ±4 | 20% ±20 | 35% ±42 | 42% ±68 | 5.3d | 3.25% | 1.53% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,203.63 (-9.5%) | 6.3 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 3.8d ago · 59× | 15% ±20 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 30% ±45 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | — | — | 74 → 2 |
| LVN zone | 3,931.01–4,123.51 (-11.2%) | 7.5 | 1.0% | 6h | 2.2d ago · 47× | 7% ±11 | 61% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 17% ±19 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 16% ±27 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 3.74% | 1.53% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,060 (-12.6%) | 8.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 3.8d ago · 85× | 5% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±22 | 31% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 147 → 4 |
| 30D VAL | 3,818.72 (-17.8%) | 12 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.2d ago · 31× | 1% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±10 | > 7d | — | — | 125 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.